Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 2.082021e-05 0.000025 0.000029 0.000035 0.000041 0.000047 0.000054
2025-09-28 1.481740e-05 0.000020 0.000026 0.000033 0.000042 0.000052 0.000064
2025-10-05 1.160191e-05 0.000017 0.000024 0.000033 0.000044 0.000057 0.000074
2025-10-12 9.237969e-06 0.000015 0.000022 0.000033 0.000046 0.000062 0.000083
2025-10-19 7.610966e-06 0.000013 0.000021 0.000033 0.000048 0.000067 0.000092
2025-10-26 6.797243e-06 0.000013 0.000021 0.000034 0.000051 0.000074 0.000103
2025-11-02 5.579627e-06 0.000011 0.000020 0.000034 0.000052 0.000077 0.000111
2025-11-09 4.334972e-06 0.000010 0.000018 0.000032 0.000052 0.000078 0.000115
2025-11-16 3.461039e-06 0.000009 0.000017 0.000031 0.000052 0.000080 0.000121
2025-11-23 2.874028e-06 0.000008 0.000016 0.000031 0.000053 0.000084 0.000128
2025-11-30 2.369837e-06 0.000007 0.000016 0.000031 0.000054 0.000087 0.000135
2025-12-07 1.851738e-06 0.000006 0.000014 0.000030 0.000054 0.000088 0.000139
2025-12-14 1.329161e-06 0.000005 0.000013 0.000028 0.000053 0.000090 0.000144
2025-12-21 9.245501e-07 0.000004 0.000012 0.000027 0.000053 0.000091 0.000150
2025-12-28 6.988578e-07 0.000004 0.000011 0.000027 0.000054 0.000095 0.000158
2026-01-04 5.114435e-07 0.000003 0.000011 0.000026 0.000055 0.000098 0.000166
2026-01-11 3.853173e-07 0.000003 0.000010 0.000027 0.000056 0.000103 0.000176
2026-01-18 3.378076e-07 0.000003 0.000011 0.000028 0.000060 0.000110 0.000190
2026-01-25 2.369201e-07 0.000003 0.000010 0.000027 0.000060 0.000113 0.000198
2026-02-01 1.395414e-07 0.000002 0.000009 0.000026 0.000059 0.000114 0.000202
2026-02-08 8.368038e-08 0.000002 0.000008 0.000025 0.000059 0.000115 0.000207
2026-02-15 5.339588e-08 0.000002 0.000008 0.000025 0.000060 0.000119 0.000216
2026-02-22 3.171080e-08 0.000001 0.000008 0.000025 0.000061 0.000122 0.000224